Genealogist
Genealogists help people discover who their ancestors were and where their family comes from. They dig through old records - birth certificates, census papers, immigration files - and piece together family stories that have been lost or hidden for decades.
How this job changes over time
Our best estimates, shown as ranges and grades, not exact predictions.
| WHAT CHANGES | Now | 5 yrs | 10 yrs | 20 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasks AI can do | 25% | 43% | 57% | 70% |
| Number of jobs | 95-105% | 85-100% | 65-90% | 40-75% |
| How hard to get in | B - achievable | C - hard | D - very hard | D - very hard |
| Job security | Weak | Weak | Weak | Gone |
Right now, AI can already do about 25% of the day-to-day work in this job, and by 20 years from now that could be around 70%. There are likely to be fewer of these jobs over time, very roughly 40-75% of the 2024 number, 20 years out. Getting your first job here is fairly easy today, and it looks set to get harder. This job has no special protection, so the trick is to keep building skills AI cannot copy.
What happens, and when
AI can already do about 43% of this job at this horizon, and the number of these roles is projected at roughly 85-100% of the 2024 total. Getting in is graded C - hard, and job security here is rated Weak.
AI can already do about 57% of this job at this horizon, and the number of these roles is projected at roughly 65-90% of the 2024 total. Getting in is graded D - very hard, and job security here is rated Weak.
AI can already do about 70% of this job at this horizon, and the number of these roles is projected at roughly 40-75% of the 2024 total. Getting in is graded D - very hard, and job security here is rated Gone.
How to aim for this career
When you start, AI will do most of the quick, routine work. So build the parts that stay human: good judgement, working well with people, and knowing one subject deeply.
The people who do well will use these tools to get real results, not fear them. Start now: try AI tools on school projects and learn how to guide them to a good answer.
Aim for the part of a job where a person still decides what to make, checks the work, and owns the result. Keep your options open too, since the same skills suit nearby jobs that AI changes less.
Sources: exposure figures from Anthropic labour market research (2026), observed real-world AI usage by occupation. Job-security forecast from OpenAI, "The AI Jobs Transition Framework" (Richmond, 2026, OpenAI Economic Research), CC BY 4.0. Grades and verdicts are Careermash editorial judgment: we show forecasts as forecasts and own our conclusions.